Anyway I remember when I first bought my xbox. I didn't because of what it could do right out of the box but because what I thought it would be able to do in the years after it's launch.
The PS3 has potential, there's no doubt about it, but the PSP I have (that is collecting dust) whispers in my ear, "You're a moron for buying that thing! Sell it on Ebay!"
I bought into the PSP about a year and a half ago because I believed that Sony would actually make it worthwhile. I travel alot and I loved what Sony was saying they'd do with the system.
Now all I've got is a system that only has a couple decent games, no downloadable games (unless I want to ante up another $600), no online video store and nearly nothing that I thought I'd be getting.
I bought into Sony's promises a couple years ago and I'm not willing to gamble on them again. I wouldn't buy a PS3 because sony claims that they're going to fix it. The PS3, like the PSP, has great potential, but I don't trust Sony to realize that potential.
Sony got us to buy PSPs by making all kinds of promises, now they're doing the same thing with the PS3.
# of posts on forums praising the Wii + # posts bashing the PS3 = Wii has won the console wars after only being out for 2 weeks.
Seriously though, I own a Wii and think it is fantastic and I will probably never buy a PS3 because I am satisfied with using my PC and Wii for gaming, but I am sure the PS3 will work out to be a solid system once the price becomes more reasonable. In fact, it is probably a so-so price given the hardware under the hood, but you had a chaotic (and sometimes violent) launch, a very low supply of systems, and "meh" release titles and of course people are going to be cynical about it. This was a good read and very fair article.
I agree that it is an impressive machine, but just like a high end gaming PC, it just isn't so much better that it justifies the price. If I'm gonna pay that for a console, what it's capable of isn't the point, it's what it can do now, right out of the box. Potential is a good thing, but how many of Sony's consoles have lived up to the potential (i.e. hype) that Sony touted. Hmmmm?
What will be the telling factor is if MS and Nintendo release a new console in three years which surpasses the PS3 for equal or less money.
If the best the PS3 can currently manage is "nice but buy it later" then you have to ask who is really going to be buying this console for the next two years? and can it recover from such a long stall if MS and Nintendo both start mentioning new systems.
If you're expecting a few great games from the PS3, and you have your heart set on MGS4 or FFXIII, then I'd say you should pick the system up when said game is released.
If you're expecting the PS2 style huge library of exclusives, then I think you may want to think long and hard about getting a PS3.
We all know how well that turned out.
I was at the Sony conference in 2005 when they unveiled the system. I saw the Killzone 2 trailer. I saw Fight Night.
Then I saw Fight Night on the 360. Then I saw how Tekken 6 really began to look. Then I learned that the Killzone trailer was pre-rendered.
Do the math.
There's something else to bear in mind. The Xbox 360 has an install base of roughly 7-8 mil, right? The PS3 has, what, 250K? If I'm a publisher, and I see those numbers, what am I likely to do? I go multiplatform - such as Assassin's Creed. Sony has done NOTHING to stop Microsoft from courting third parties, and that's just what the 360 is doing right now. The problem with the PS3 - other than its ridiculous price; it's a game console, remember? - is it's trying to do too much, and ultimately does everything half-assed.
Now.... I don't think that Sony realizes that they simply don't have the big advantage that they used to. Now they're the gamble. The smallest user base, the lowest limit of games they can sell, the prohibitive price, the longest development cycle, the most expensive development costs... If I were a developer, I would consider the PS3 to be the biggest gamble between the 3 consoles.

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