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Study shows Nintendo affected by iPad excitement photo

Nintendo is happy to tell you how many gazillions of DS systems they sold, but Fortune magazine sees things a bit differently. They think that Apple is creeping up and gnawing off some of Nintendo's portable market share. The Apple App Store is blowing up and the iPad is riding the bumpers of all the mobile gadgets out there, according to a study by Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty. Her study shows that gaming handhelds are a candidate for cannibalization.

Our favorite analyst, Wedbush Morgan's Michael Pachter is on the same page: "The introduction of the 3DS some time this fiscal year may serve to hold off substitution of iPod Touch for DS, but we think that ultimately, Apple will gain share in the handheld market."

There's a million iPads sold, and 3.5 million apps for it. Apple is also about to launch Game Center, that social Xbox Live-like game networking functionality, this summer.

Yes, Nintendo did say they sold over 128 million DS systems, but I'd imagine they're still keeping a close eye on Apple.

Nintendo Hurt By iPad Surge, finds Study [Industrygamers]








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Dale North is Destructoid's Editor-In-Chief, a founding editor, and specialist in Japanese gaming. An accomplished musician, Dale was reporting from Japan during the earthquakes of 2011. Luckily, he got the fuck out alive and is home in America now with his wife and beloved corgi, Einstein. Dale is also a co-founder of Destructoid's sister anime site Japanator. Likes Corgis, Sega Saturn, PSP, iPhone, Photographic tools. Meet the rest of the team



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32 comments | showing # 1 to 32
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Nic128's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:23
Nic128
Maybe. But 150$ vs 500$?
xaliqen's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:27
xaliqen
For a second, I misread the title as Study shows Nintendo affected by iPad excrement

My immediate thoughts were: "Yeah, that sounds about right."
watermanx's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:29
watermanx
In ipad news. The ipad will cost £80 more in the uk than in America. Fuck you apple (I still love you)
RenegadePanda's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:29
RenegadePanda
I'm sorry, but I'll never take the iPhone/Touch/Pod/Pad/Crap seriously as a gaming device. For a device that has a handful of worthwhile games, only a handful of those are serious and well-designed. So much of what I've seen and heard just sounds like cheap novelty crap that is good for wasting time on the bus and nothing more.

Oh but it's only 99 cents! Let's all fekin' buy it anyway.
GoldenGamerXero's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:33
GoldenGamerXero
That's ridiculous. This assumes that the two different products are in competition with each other or that the iPad is a substitute for a DS. Yes you can play games on it and there's very good games on the system but that doesn't mean that that they are even in the same market or you would have to decide between one or the other. The iPad isn't made for the the same purpose as a DS even if they both share a similar feature.

They think it's:

My laptop plays games.
My DS plays games.
I will have to choose between a DS and Laptop.

Rather than:

My Laptop plays games.
My DS plays games.
Why the fuck would I get a DS if I want a Laptop?
dj-anon's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:39
dj-anon
All of these stories on how the iPad is basically affecting even earth's gravity are full of bullshit. Are we supposed to believe that a tablet that has allegedly sold 1 million units, has affected sales for netbooks, smart phones and handheld gaming devices during the past year?
Toadofsky's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:40
Toadofsky
Once I saw that Pachter chimed in the same thoughts, I quickly lost interest.

I don't doubt that handhelds are starting to face competition, but I think Nintendo knows the market pretty well. Heck, it's what kept them going (not fanboys, no matter what they think) during the N64/Gamecube debacle.
bunnymud's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:44
bunnymud
The iPad is just a mere blip
Hcapt's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:49
Hcapt
If you determine health by market share rather than revenue growth, then yes. Of course adding the sales of new devices is going to affect market share. It is impossible to have a %100 of the market grow to %110 of the market, and if anyone is arbitrarily placed in the market with you, it is mathematically impossible to have %100 of the market anymore, no matter how much your revenue grows.

To assume Apple is significantly hurting Nintendo, you have to assume
1. Apple's products compete with Nintendo's in an "either Apple or Nintendo" manner
2. You have to ignore the natural cycle of Nintendo's products and the fact that a new handheld console announcement will significantly hurt the sales of the current one, and account accordingly
3. You have to ignore the fact that Nintendo had a record year 4 years into the aging DS's life cycle, in direct competition with the iPod touch, a much more similar device
4. You have to ignore the significant differences between the iPad and the DS in cost and size.
5. You have to measure in terms of marketshare rather than revenue and growth, and you have to redefine the market to include Apple products, which had never been done before.

I have to ask if this kind of reporting really brings in any revenue, or if the "journalist" involved had a personally reason to make the comparison. Unless people are actually interested in these comparisons, there is no benefit to making them.
Caspulex's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:51
Caspulex
"hold off substitution of iPod Touch for DS"

fairly certain parents would rather spend 100 or so on a used DS for their seven year old than a 200 dollar ipod touch.

I'm with Renegade, getting quite sick of hearing about the iTouch myself. The only things I've ever seen my friends buy on their touches are one of the many duplicate time wasters (Doodle jump, for one), and totally pointless things like iBeer and that "gun" simulator.
KingSigy's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:55
KingSigy
Fuck Patcher. That son of a bitch doesn't know shit.
Toadofsky's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 14:55
Toadofsky
@ Hcapt:

I believe journalists and analysts wanna see Nintendo go right back to where it was 5 years ago, last place.

They can't seem to just get over how wrong they were, and it's understandable since what Nintendo was doing wasn't done before, but it amazes me how they CONTINUE to be wrong.

I think reading your post just clarified this whole news post, I think it's now null and void.
testmunky's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:01
testmunky
@ Hcapt

Or to put it more simply, "Study confuses correlation and causation".
Mr Andy Dixon's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:06
Mr Andy Dixon
@RenagadePanda

"So much of what I've seen and heard just sounds like cheap novelty crap that is good for wasting time on the bus and nothing more."

Let's not forget about the toilet ;)

Seriously, though. For those of us who do all our portable gaming in those situations, the iPhone is perfect. (Can't speak to the iPad, since I've never used one.) I barely have time to game other than at home, and when I am home, I'd rather play my 360 than look at the three inch screen of my PSP or iPhone.

To each his own, I suppose.
Elsa's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:09
Elsa
My next DS will definitely be an IPad or IPod Touch. I like the web browsing ability and the ability to have small programs/apps. The games seem to be pretty decent and lower cost... so yeah, I think unless big changes come along for the DS I won't be looking at them.
Toadofsky's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:12
Toadofsky
@ mrandydixon:

I'm guilty of that. I only play the DS when I go on a LONG road trip. I've considered trading it in, but I'll wait and see what comes from the 3DS before I do, besides, I would definitely like to try out Picross 3D, looks mighty interesting...
bunnymud's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:13
bunnymud
WePad....that is what I'm waiting on

http://www.crunchgear.com/2010/04/12/the-wepad-gets-a-price-and-launch-date/
xaliqen's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:32
xaliqen
I don't know about WePads, but they've been selling wee pads for ages. I don't know if I'd like a video game system from the Depend company, but I suppose the inevitable high absorbency might work well for certain households.
hpv's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:43
hpv
Apple products are priced too high and lacking too many features to ever be a serious threat to a dedicated gaming handheld. They'll probably take a small amount of market share at the margins but that's about it.
Ganjookie's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:53
Ganjookie
NO Pokemon, no win. Plus what all of the other Pro Nintendo users here said...
The CronoLink's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:57
The CronoLink
@Toadofsky
"since what Nintendo was doing wasn't done before"
You're wrong. Nintendo did the same thing 25 years ago.
DF's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 15:58
DF
Let's see. I have over $400 worth of games on the Touch (most of which I snagged for free), and how many hours on average do I game on it? About...two hours. Thereabouts. The DS gets about that much a day on average.

Oh yes, sure. You may plunk down a buck on a game, but how often do you do that? Most are shallow flirtations at best, and while I have the several hundreds of games, I haven't even bothered to start playing them all. I snag them when I see them for free, and that's it. Not to mention with my iTouch, I can't game for more than an hour or two at the max without it complaining of thirst. Sure, the iPad wins in battery power, but carry that in a pocket. I'll wait.

Also, since I'm an iTouch user, I have to pay for my firmware updates. What? Your favorite app had an update but it requires a version you're not running? Sorry, you're SOL. And God help you if Apple takes a game off the App Store that you bought but didn't want to keep on your computer (because all of the apps I own now have broken the 10GB mark and I can't afford to let those eat up space).

I don't want an iPod Tablet, and I have more value in the few DS games I have anyway. Oh well.
SBC Slam's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 16:29
SBC Slam
You are all out of your league in such an exadurated capacity.

YOU are not representative of the population as a whole. YOU are not even a proper sample size. YOUR experiences with YOUR electronic devices is a snapshot of nothing.

Pachter does this for a living. He's an industry analyst, and a good one. You have no clue concerning the things on which he comments.

You people PLAY games, and this in no way, shape, manner or form makes you an expert on industry goings on, let alone capable of competing with the likes of Pachter where his observation and commentary are concerned.

You don't like what he says because it somehow offends your sensibilities, the reason for this offense being your lack of knowledge and understanding.

No of you know what the fuck you're talking about.
StepTangent's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 16:38
StepTangent
@SBC Slam
Hahaha, you just went all Pach Attack on everybody. Good show!
Everyday Legend's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 17:41
Everyday Legend
My next handheld is a pair of soft boobs.

That beats both the DS and the iPad.
SBC Slam's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 17:41
SBC Slam
I s'pose I did.
Duck You Sucker's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 17:51
Duck You Sucker
Since I got my iPhone in July I've barely touched my DS. The iPhone games are okay, Plants vs Zombies is great, but people forget that the iPhone is also a video player, iPod, portable Internet machine and a phone. Throw in all the apps for reading books and comics and the DS and PSP just can't compete for my attention.
MRLN's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 18:01
MRLN
I have an inordinate amount of hatred for that device.
dj-anon's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 18:28
dj-anon
SBC Slam: Pachter? Don't take it personal, man, we always enjoy your analysis.
SBC Slam's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 18:38
SBC Slam
LOL! Nah, not Pachter. I just respect the dude as a professional analyst.
Toadofsky's Avatar - Comment posted on 05/07/2010 19:40
Toadofsky
@ SBC Slam:

Look, I'm not an analyst, never even thought of myself as one, but from comments Pachter has made in the past few years, I don't go by much of what he says at all. He can make many a prediction, but several times he's been proven wrong.

First the whole WiiHD, and it's coming out soon!! Several times Nintendo was asked about it, and every time they denied it. Of course they probably DO HAVE one in the works, but it can't be the same console with prettier graphics, they've said it themselves that it'll have to be more than that.

Then some time afterward...
“The holiday Wii sales boost was primarily attributable to a $50 gift card promotion offered by Wal-Mart,” he asserts. “While we expect similar promotions at holiday next year, we expect the other consoles to be lower-priced by then, further eroding the Wii’s competitive price advantage.”

So, Pachter says that it's because of the $50 Gift Card that the Wii had a sales boost OVERALL? There's territories that DON'T HAVE A WALMART, so how does that account for total growth? Heck, not a lot of people heard about that Holiday Special, One major game boosted the Wii during the holidays, New Super Mario Bros. Wii.

I'll just refrain from saying anymore SBC SLAM, if you enjoy hearing from Pachter, fine, I won't even try to debate it with you, and I respect your opinion.
Katya's Avatar - Comment posted on 02/14/2011 03:28
Katya
Her study shows that gaming handhelds are a candidate for cannibalization.
Best regards, Katya, CEO of cd burners for computers, free iscsi target software for windows
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