Yay for ps3

I can draw a graph in MS paint and claim it to be an infallible forecast too...but there may be some truth to this if the 360 can't break into the Japanese market.

I'm curious what makes them think that the PS3 sales will have such a sharp change right at the beginning of their forecast region. The other two consoles maintain the same slope in the transition from what really happened to what they think will happen.

By the way, it's a line graph, not a bar graph.

I wonder if the PS3 will have any games worth mentioning by 2011? Or if the fanbois will still be screaming "LAIR FTW KEKEK!"

I've got to call "out of their ass" data for that graph. Xbox 360 and Wii continue to outsell the PS3 2:1 and 3-4:1 and have done so for months. Another media outlet basing future predictions based solely on the previous console generation.

by the time nintendo is starting to lose market again (around 2011) they will launch a wii2 and ask another 250 with some slightly better grapichs or same as the ps3 and cash in again.

I call shenanigans on this hunk of crap.

i wish ANALysts were more reliable, but complety disregarding them is madness, even for us gamers

[i]Of course these guys could be right with their figures but given how shit the production values of that graph are I doubt it.[/]

Scratch that shit. The graph appears to be the work of the economist.com based on the figures from Screendigest, so unless someone coughed up the cost of PS3 to get that report there is no way of knowing if the economists table acurately matches the figures of the original report.

That's a line graph, not a bar graph. See the lines?

I say .....COCK.
20 million ps3's sold next year, wow, good luck. Not interested in remakes of games which started life a decade ago. The Wii-toy owners will continue to shift hardware but this market does not equate to success. Games per system owned ratio is the most important factor as this drives games development etc. As far as I am aware the 360 is very high on this. Take a look at the all time Metacritic games score for each platform, 360 is a very strong platform unlikely to loose its throat grip with the PS3. I would have loved the PS3 to be the hero that the PS1 was, but it seems that the brand has suffered too badly in the US and Europe to fully recover. Just like the PC Engine etc Japan will do its own thing and PS3 will be the success there it wants to be.

@Parrothead,the Dreamcast sold 6 bill and took over sony,MS, nintendo, thats the graph for the losers of this generation(God how i hope that happens)

Anyone else notice that according to that graph, the PS3 should reach, even exceed, the 360 in sales by what I think is the end of 2008?

All Sony has to do is sell 7 million consoles in a year and prevent Microsoft from selling any and they'll do it! Mark my bullshit words, people! It'll happen!

I am just confused as to why this analyst thinks that the PS3 sales are going to skyrocket this holiday season and into next year. It just doesn't make sense, to be honest.

Does this person not understand the current climate in the world of video games? People want a Wii, and people want a 360. Even when I include my older brother and his friends that would be considered the mainstream market, I can count the number of people that own a PS3 that I know on two hands. And those people that do own a PS3 get made fun of for it. Honestly, who buys a PS3 instead of a 360?

The PS3 is right at where the 360 was a year ago, in hardware sales. But that is only one side of the story. Those people that actually bought a PS3, most of them aren't using it, at least not to play games. The attach rate for the PS3 is fucking hideous right now, where as the 360's is about a 4.5 (that means that they have sold 4.5 games for every console).

Maybe its just me, but I just can't see the PS3 taking off and getting ahead of the 360. I guess we will see who was wrong in a couple years but if I were a betting man, I would have my money on the 360 outselling the PS3.

Seriously, what are they smoking? There's no way this would happen. The 360 has such a massive lead on the 360 and looks like it will continue to be lacking exclusives. I don't see how it could catch-up.

Surely the more important stat is that the PS3 catches up to the 360 by the end of 2008. I call shenanigans.

It's a marathon, not a sprint. The Wii and the 360 have the early lead but we have no idea what will happen 4 years from now.. I wouldn't doubt this happens at all.. And for those of you saying it has no games.. Yeah, currently, which is why it's behind. Give it a couple of years when it actually has games..

Yeah, I wasn't trying to bash the PS3. I LOVE my PS3 and I play it all the time. I have 3 physical games (though only one was bought new so the other two don't go towards helping with their attach rate) and 6 downloaded games.

That aside, it's obviousl that these figures are flat out WRONG. I mean, they don't even have the CURRENT sales figures (which WE ALREADY KNOW) correctly graphed.

--The Wii WILL NOT sell 7 million more consoles by years end,
--the 360 WILL NOT sell 4 million more by years end
--and the PS3 WILL NOT sell 5 million more by years end.

It's also pretty insane to assume that the Wii and 360 will stay on an almost exactly steady sales trend through their entire life cycles.

Furthermore, I can all but guarantee the 360 won't sell nearly as many units next year as they did this year without Halo 3 to boost sales and neither will the Wii once it ceases to become the "it" toy for gamers and non-gamers alike.

PS3 sales WILL pick up in the next year, but not as much as they think. I mean, face it, the Wii and 360 exclusives lineup for 2008 is sparse at best with only SSBB and Ninja Gaiden 2 respectively really standing out in the mass market eye. (Mario Kart isn't getting much praise, Halo Wars is too niche and I'm the only person in the world that wants Culdcept Saga so badly)

The PS3 fares a bit better in 2008 but how much it wins by depends on how many of the following meet their 2008 release dates: Haze, Little Big Planet, Tekken 6, MGS4, and maybe Killzone 2 and the next Gran Turismo.

Someone should have a page dedicated to keeping all of these silly projected sales charts and showing how wrong they are on a year to year basis.

To whom it may concern:

spelling lesson 1:

they're = they are
their = belonging to someone
there = over there

spelling lesson 2:

two - as in the number 2
to - towards
too - also

spelling lesson 3:

its - belonging to it
it's - it is


Please, for the love of God and all that is Holy, study this information and use it. Firefox's built in spell checker will not catch these, they must be committed to memory. Put down the crack pipe and look at this, umk?

Whew...

The PS3 will outsell the 360, but I'm starting to think that won't happen in the US. Japan and Europe (not to be confused with the UK) will help the PS3 outsell the 360... eventually... not in 2008.

Besides, we have yet to get to that $200 customary price point for either the 360 or the PS3. I predict the 360 will be advertising "Now only $199" by the end of 2008, which will help sell more consoles than Halo 3 ever could. The PS3 still has a long way to go before it can claim a $200 price point.

Seriously, how many of you non-PS3 owners would buy a PS3 at $199 or less? A year ago, the PS2 sold 80% of its install base at $200 or cheaper. That percentage has to be even higher now. Don't forget, all of us reading this make up a small minority of all those people who have and have yet to buy a console this generation.

There's a reason the PS2 did so well, and the PS3 isn't: Support from Japan.

During the PS2 days, virtually everything was made into a game. Anime series: Ps2 game. Franchise fighter: Ps2 game. Furry mascot: Ps2 game. Frankenstein-like mishmash of 5 genres: Ps2 game.
The climate in Japan has changed over to the casual gaming set, and thus a major draw for the PS3 gets stifled. No one's going to be making games for the PS3, when the Wii and DS print money. And whatever hardcore gaming base there is left, has found a niche within the 360.

Believe me, I want the PS3 to succeed. I look at my library of awesome Ps2 games, and hope to see something like that in the future.
Also, there's NO way the Wii will sell 7 mil by the end of the year, looking at the rate in which they trickle from the warehouses.

I can think of one thing and one thing alone that could boost the PS3 to huge numbers (and perhaps number one spot)... the mythic FF VII remake. In one horrible swoop, millions would flock to PS3, third parties would immediately jump ship (especially many Japanese companies, who still stubbornly hold loyalty to them), and Sony would be back to charging over $599 for systems, because they could.

I pray it doesn't happen. =P

@ Dinnertimeninja
The Wii and 360 line ups for 2008 look so weak because they haven't even spoken about them yet. Nearly all the games we have any idea about have just been delayed to next year. PS3's line up is exposed to 2009 already so we can expect certain games in the far distance, but there are going to be many more announcements for the rest of 2008. This graph is also clearly ridiculous in that the Wii and 360 lines were extrapolated with a ruler, and PS3 was angled up 15 degrees beginning 2008. What in the world is going to cause the PS3 sales to increase so much in January? It doesn't matter what you think will happen or is even likely to happen, this chart is a joke that clearly just appeals to whatever ignorant Playstation gamers there are out there.

I turned that graph sideways, and it looks like all three consoles are going straight into the toilet. ZOMG ANOTHER GAMING CRASH!!!

I think the PS3 has the better chance of appealing to "mainstream" or casual gamers than the 360. It's got brand recognition, and a few important franchises; Singstar or Little Big Planet are coming to mind. I seriously doubt the PS3 will ever catch up with the Wii (which I think will sell ever 100 million in the next five years), but it just might beat the 360.