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Pachter: PS3 is winning

10:20 AM on 10.08.2009   |   Jim Sterling

Pachter: PS3 is winning photo

Videogame industry analyst and deep-sea shark wrestler Michael Pachter has published his predictions for last month's sales, believing that when the dust has settled, Sony and the PS3 shall emerge as victor, helped along by the PS3 Slim and $299 price point.

"We believe that the recent round of price cuts may benefit the PS3 the most in coming months, given that unit sales last year were only 1.5 million for the September -- December 2008 period," claimed the handsome man. "The Xbox 360 has outsold the PS3 for the past 13 months, likely due to a higher perceived value proposition.

"We think that the PS3 will outsell the Xbox 360 in September, and may continue to do so for the rest of the year. Microsoft has the ability to lower price yet again, but we anticipate the introduction of a more feature-packed Xbox 360 in early 2010 (likely with a 250Gb hard drive) at the same $299 price point; we think that Microsoft will cut price only if it begins to lose significant market share to Sony."

What do you reckon? Has Sony finally risen to the occassion, and should Microsoft start worrying and finally take the competition seriously?








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Jim Sterling serves as reviews editor for Destructoid.com, head of the Podtoid podcast, and produces a number of news stories, original features, one-of-a-kind videos. With his passionate argumentative style, controversial opinions, harsh delivery, and dedication to brutal honesty Sterling is a name that you can't help but recognize. Likes PS2, iPod Touch, Silent Hill 2, Metal Gear Solid, Dynasty Warriors 3 Meet the rest of the team



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72 comments | showing # 1 to 50
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DarkMagic56's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:24
DarkMagic56
This Prediction will be false... Nintendo will prove this with its sales
Chocolatey Sex's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:25
Chocolatey Sex
Giant Enemy Crabs
Draxxlith's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:28
Draxxlith
I think Microsoft could have stolen Sony's thunder if they would have dropped the 360 price some more, but that said, I now own all 3 consoles thanks to Sony's drop, so it still would have made a difference in my case. I just don't want Sony to do too well until they realize how blatantly ridiculous and spiteful they've been and actually try to win customers. Then, there shall truly be a console war.
Sexualchocolate's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:29
Sexualchocolate
Sony has been winning since day 1. Sure, not in sales, but in the long game they've owned. They've stuck to their plan and they've waited out the storm and survived to emerge victorious.

Microsoft have "percieved value" but not real value. Sony offers the most for the money, even at the old higher price!

MS is ALL ABOUT perception, trickery, lies and confusion. Tricking people into buying a console with many missing parts, only to charge extra and then more for LIVE etc.

Where as Sony has always been straight up with what it offers, a more advanced system at a higher price - that's given them a bit of a prestige market spot, where those who can afford it have it, those who can't want to know why it's so expensive. Now it's dropped it's like all those people can get on the train as it's now more affordable but still just as awesome.

Pachter, you often irritate me but i think you're onto something here.

You make a cheap product - you get a big start over a shorter period.
You make a QUALITY product - you may lag behind at first, but eventually, over the long term you get where you need to be.
urahara's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:31
urahara
It would be more concerning if Sony doesn't lead this month after the PS3 slim has been released.

@DarkMagic56 we aren't talking about Nintendo, just Sony and Microsoft for some reason.
TheLegendaryMan's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:33
TheLegendaryMan
Why do we really care about sales anyways.We are the consumers.I dont give a fugne if a console is doing good in sales.
wedgejaeger's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:34
wedgejaeger
I love me my PS3, but I sincerely doubt this claim. any big IP and Microsoft goes back to the top again. If anything I'd say the field is leveling out.
Sexualchocolate's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:34
Sexualchocolate
it's the Japanese way vs the Amurkin way.

Japs - make the future, go for advanced tech, make it good even if it's expensive, marketing is an afterthought. Sure at first people will be turned off by the price, but as technology catches up with you you'll already be there.

Yanks - Make it cheap, make it fast, grab as much cash as we can and market market market market and advertise, make them think they want it, make them think they need it, get their cash and spend that making hurdles for the competition.

I personally HATE Amurkin business practice, and i work for a company based in California!
urahara's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:34
urahara
@Sexualchocolate Quick note. All the console developers use trickery, magic and in some rare cases Morris Dancing to promote their consoles. Just because some developer has reduced the price of their console doesn't make any other console better or worse.

Excluding the original N-gage of course that still is bad.
DarkMagic56's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:38
DarkMagic56
@urahara Thats why I mention Nintendo since Mr. Pachter somehow forgot all about the best business in the world
mechayakuza's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:39
mechayakuza
@TheLegendaryMan

Really, consumers shouldn't care? That's a silly position, I'm sorry to say. If your preferred console doesn't sell at all, developers won't make games for it. Then what do you do? But as the consumer, you're not supposed to care, right?
Mushman's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:40
Mushman
MASSIVE DAMAGE

Oh and...










RIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIDGE RACERRRRRRRRRR!!!!!!!
urahara's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:41
urahara
@ DarkMagic56 but but NetApp doesn't have a console anyway...
Mornelithe's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:43
Mornelithe
@ DarkMagic56 - Pachter's full interview does include Nintendo outlook. It's predicted to continue the decline it's shown the past few months, and that the price cut won't be fully realized until Oct's NPD results.
evolution1ne's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:44
evolution1ne
oh shit jim ps3 article... no bad words ....from u .......quick release the scorpions
Spike941's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:45
Spike941
Why would you NOT care about sales? This means EVEN MORE PS3 exclusives and jrpgs. Try to think a little harder next time.
ChaosTeaCup's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:45
ChaosTeaCup
I have to say SC, you make out that the Xbox is a piece of shit, and RROD aside which is/was shitty, the Xbox is not a piece of shit. The Xbox didn't beat Sony just because it was cheaper; it's a damn fine system with a damn fine game library, and a comprehensive and great online system. The Xbox brought online gaming to the console masses. It did so much more than just be a cheap console. Okay? And if you believe Sony's masterplan was to lose the a fucking huge chunk of the market to a competitor only to try and reel that share back with a long overdue price-drop you might want to get your head checked, mate. This price-cut would not exist had Sony not of found themselves losing the bullshit console war. If Sony were tops their machine would still be selling at 400 odd nicker.
Deny Everything's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:46
Deny Everything
@sexualchocolate. lol. widely biased point of view there. xbox was the first on console online connectivity. xbox was faster on digital content than sony. xbox is the first on full body motion control. the only thing that the PS3 is really "innovative" for was blu-ray. and of course, we'll ignoring the "do everythings" PS3 removal of backwards compatibility. you want to talk about deceit? what about the PSPGo? 100 dollars more for... a system that isn't even backwards compatable with itself?

now i don't own an xbox, i own a PS3. but seriously, try thinking.

@darkmagic56. i've heard commentators say that microsoft and sony don't view nintendo as competition. which in retrospect is really true. different market, different purpose. they cross each other, but are not the same.
SP420's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:48
SP420
"The Xbox 360 has outsold the PS3 for the past 13 months, likely due to a higher perceived value proposition."

He just defeated his whole argument with that.
Black Nexus's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:49
Black Nexus
Mush beat me to it. -_-
TheBatman42's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:50
TheBatman42
PS3 fanboys are the worst.
project2501's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:50
project2501
By what metric (or metrixeses) are you basing your statement that Sony has been winning from day 1? Because from where I'm sitting they've been lagging behind Microsoft nearly the entire generation in almost every measurable category.

Also, I don't think that quality=winning. Lots of people will argue that betamax in the 80s was a superior product to vhs (personally I wouldn't know, by the time I was old enough to care betamax was already on its deathbed). And unless you were born after 1997 I think you know how that battle went down.

And before I get labeled a 360 fanboy let me me say that I own all 3 current consoles and I absolutely adore my PS3. I've had a much better ownership experience with my PS3 than the 360. If someone told me that I had to give up one of my consoles it sure wouldn't be the PS3 I'd be giving the short goodbye to.
akathatoneguy's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 10:55
akathatoneguy
@ SP420-

No, you're wrong. His statement is that the recent price cuts will benefit the PS3 greatly. How does the fact that the Xbox 360 has outsold the PS3 until this point negate that point whatsoever? Perhaps you based your post on the misleading title of the article, since nowhere within does Pachter assert that the PS3 "is winning", only that things will start looking up for the console in the near future.
DarkMagic56's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:03
DarkMagic56
"@darkmagic56. i've heard commentators say that microsoft and sony don't view nintendo as competition. which in retrospect is really true. different market, different purpose. they cross each other, but are not the same." The last time I check Nintendo is a gaming company like Sony & Microsoft so they are the same. If someone says their opinion that "The Big N aren't a competition to the other two gaming companies" then they are stupid retards.
Airbr1dge's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:05
Airbr1dge
Nintedo will win due to casuals. Stupid sony plans to win with there dildo XD
Shadowiii's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:06
Shadowiii
I'm not even going to respond to Sexualchocolate's incredible lack of rational thinking.
But I do think the PS3 has finally risen to the occasion. Microsoft needs to stop banking on their past success and start competitively pricing their Xbox. Yes, people bought your system when it was cheaper and had more games, but that isn't the case anymore. Bang for your buck, the PS3 easily win, especially with no blu-ray, paying for live, and no wifi.
The Xbox should seriously be $200 for an Elite, if they wanted to competitively price it. They are seriously relying heavily on the fact they outsold the PS3 to justify their extremely high price point for the Elite.
Drop the price, make Live free, and your machine will stay competitive. Right now, the PS3 is all ready to beat the crap out of you. You're underestimating the competition at this point, only because they haven't put much of a fight out until now. Well, the PS3 is fighting, and the Xbox's response is beyond lame.
So....yeah. I love my Xbox, don't get me wrong, but they are sucking at competitively pricing their system (just like the Wii, huge surprise).
Don Lupo's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:07
Don Lupo
Sony will win purely on the basis of having a better product. Plus, it's free to get onto their network! I'm tired of paying for the "privilege" of getting into XBox Live, then paying again for content. Sony had the right idea from the start. It's also a better machine that offers more value for my gaming dollar.
Takeshi's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:08
Takeshi
I'm a big Sony fan but I don't want anybody to win. Everything goes down the shitter if only one company is left.

Think about what it would do to us consumers if some company actually wins before you compose a comment like: "Sony/Microsoft/Nintendo is teh suxors, I hope they die"
Steel Brotha's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:08
Steel Brotha
@ Deny Everything
"xbox was the first on console online connectivity"
actually it was the Japanese NES. I love that fact.
EternalDeathSlayer's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:08
EternalDeathSlayer
akathatoneguy is definitely correct Jim, there is no part in this article where Pachter says the PS3 is winning, only that they believe it will "win" the month of September, and may continue doing so for the rest of the year.
Blasto's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:09
Blasto
Normally I wouldn't respond to Sack-sual Cocklette, but recent events have put me in a mood. This bullshit about PS3 "value" goes out the window when you get YLOD like I have recently and the great Sony expects you to pay $150 to fix their hardware fuckup, on top of the $400 I paid for the fucking thing. Meanwhile my Amurkan 360s have been repaired 4 times for FREE. Plus, I don't lose all the shit on my harddrive for the privilege (hurr, you should have backed up your system. No I fucking shouldn't, it's a god damn console, not a PC. It's a stupid DRM system period).

...and I take very good care of my consoles, so don't even go there. You don't think that there is a reason nothing on there online repair forms mention anything about a yellow light? Of course not, your throat's too full of Japanese cock. Just STFU, your shit's tired, both systems are flawed.
Bigworld 41's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:13
Bigworld 41
I did not buy ODST. Do you know what I am buying day one? Uncharted 2. I am tired of my 360 breaking. As for Nintendo, if it there wasn't Tatsunoko V Capcom, Silent Hill Shattered Memories(which I pray over James' open grave is good) and Metroid Other M on the horizon,I would chuck that thing out the window.


"In the end I don't care who "wins". I just want games that don't suck ass."

But t
funran's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:17
funran
I think they've got a better chance than ever honestly (sony). there are a lot of huge 1st party games coming out in the next 6 months, and with some random awesome 3rd party games like demon's souls, i think that the ps3 has a lot more games that i'm interested in right now than the 360's line up for the next year (so far).
Midgetsnowman's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:17
Midgetsnowman
@Bigworld41:eh. My 360 has never broken. so thats not an issue to me. Sony treating me like dogshit as a psp owner however, is
ChaosTeaCup's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:22
ChaosTeaCup
@Shadowiii - I actually think that the Elite price-drop is a pretty good one, considering that the Elite price-drop is giving you more for less, whereas the PS3 price-drop is giving you less for less. But I totally agree that Sony are really stepping up to the plate, and finally their machine is going to get more users show off its awesome potential to. Though I highly doubt Microsoft will be taking anything for granted, and I'm sure they won't be resting on their laurels. Sony's predicted surge in success is a good thing for all of us - for the PS3sers, amongst many things, it will mean that third-party devs will start to take the machine more seriously thus increasing the quality in multi-plats for the system, and for the Xboxers the competition means things will get better on the system all round with the aim of appealing in the face of stiff competition from Sony. Like the paralympics: "we're all winners"*

*Joke stolen from Ricky Gervais.
Blasto's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:26
Blasto
@BigWorld41: Google the shit you have to go through when the PS3 breaks down. They CAN break, and Sony will say fuck you when it does. I'm still getting mine fixed because of games like UC2, Demon's souls etc, but I'm damn sure not paying Sony to do it. Don't think it's an invincible system like fanboys make it out to be.
Deny Everything's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:29
Deny Everything
@darkmagic56: you're being overbroad in your categorization, "you stupid retard." the simple fact is you don't ask "do I want a Wii or a PS3/360?" you simply ask "do I want a Wii?" the reason why the Wii has done so well is because it's directed to a different market than the PS3/360 market.
JDigital's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:30
JDigital
@All the wanna-be analysts.


I'm often very humored about all of you wannabe (usually teenage) analysts. Always trying to quote sales numbers and whatnot, usually coupled with some off-beat and completely uneducated view of the facts... Let me ask you two simple questions...

#1: Being as Honda outsells Ferrari... does that make Honda a better product?

WHY THE HELL WOULD YOU CARE WHO SELLS MORE? Seriously, give me ONE freaking good reason as to why anyone as a consumer with give a flying dingleberry which product sold more units than another product and I will promptly delete my account and never comment on another article here.

You're all fanboys and completely retarded in your loyalty.
Monodi's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:31
Monodi
Don't jinx your own glory, Sony.
HiddenAHB's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:36
HiddenAHB
Since the release of Jasper the failure rate of the 360 is quite low compared to a couple years ago. I really like the PS3 and i wish i had the money to buy one(i'm in high school, no job, and no allowance) but i still think that the best HD console is the 360. We do have a shitty of generic FPS's, but we got our nice share of good games. And some medium games also, like Halo and stuff.
Michael Miroku Fraser's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:40
Michael Miroku Fraser
@Steel Brotha i thought i was the only one that remembered that NES had the first online. 360 good system, overheats way to quick, good games, way to much shovelware. PS3 good system, Need a good t.v to see its power, which it had some more 3rd party games. Wii good system, Firmware screw up just like sony, way to many dman kiddy games hence less gamers on that system. All 3 systems have something good going for them but they all screw up too
JDigital's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 11:42
JDigital
On a more lighter side:

Has a consensus been reached on who has the better games? Not speaking about the past.. as of right now, who has the best catalog and lineup?

I would probably vote for PS3... the sheer diversity of titles, especially on PSN, would seem to pull the lead over the 360...

Thoughts?

(yes, this is an issue that should actually matter to consumers... who gives a damn how many people bought a good game? The real question... is it a good game?)
Wolfrider's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:05
Wolfrider
@JDigital

I think it really depends on the kind of games you're looking for. What's been cool about this generation is that all three consoles have a very specific culture around them. The Wii is light, casual, friendly and fun. The 360 is very much a competitive core gamer experience and the PS3 is more experimental and artsy.

Being that I'm one of those "games are art hippies" I prefer the PS3's lineup. Stuff like Echochrome, Flower, PixelJunk, Heavy Rain really appeal to me. Even Home is interesting simply because it attempts to break out of the standard "game" mold (even though many would argue it failed).

It all depends on the games you like to play.

PS3 still wins on BC though. I'm still going through the old PlayStation library. Hopefully they wise up and start populating the PSN with a ton of PSone and PS2 titles. That way I can actually start giving the money to the publishers that make them instead of buying them at flea markets.
Doos's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:06
Doos
If Sony could keep the list of good looking exclusives coming non-stop (Say, 2 a month in 2010) they would decimate the shit out of the 360 next year.

The 'Bang-for-buck' ratio falls squarely in Sony's court, all they have to do is keep serving up AAA EXCLUSIVE games and MS will be going into 2011 with a severely bruised ego and market share.

But... Unfortunately for ALL of us, that's not going to happen.
PEICanada7's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:19
PEICanada7
So the PS3 is going to win one month, out of almost 3 years and that's suppose to be impressive? All of a sudden people think that Sony's back on top? Well its going to take a hell of a lot more than Sony just wining one month, for them to even become relevant again (sales wise) at alone back on top. You don't just jump out of 3rd place over night folks! So Sony still has a long way to go before they ever get to second place, at alone back to 1st.
Mattchewie's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:19
Mattchewie
@Blasto

A extended warranty doesn't mean shit unless your ACTUALLY going to fix the issue. The problem with MS's extended warranty for RROD is they just replace broke with broke.

So to me, your little "MS was nice enough to fix my console 4 times for free" speech translates to "Why in the hell did it take them 4 times before they got it right...or just got lucky"


Also, my friends and I have used Sony's return/repair service for both in warranty and out of warranty items...and not ONE of us has had a bad experience with the unit only being out of our hands for about two weeks (this is from me dropping it off at UPS until it's return to my house).
DarkMagic56's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:30
DarkMagic56
If the Wii to people ain't in the same market then okay think that way but to me I know all three consoles are in the same market, seriously believe what you want.

The reason why the Wii was successful was how it was shown to the public & how it was showing gamers playing video games while off their butts & moving. The 360 is making Natal & PS3 is making PS motion to take on the Wii soon so this give me reason to believe that the Wii is still in competition with the two which would mean they are in the same market.
Bigworld 41's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:45
Bigworld 41
To those of you with working 360s you are definitely lucky! I have treated my 360 like a newborn baby. Room to breathe, clean space everything. 3RL Once, twice, got it back after the 2nd repair it died after a month.


The dusty as all hell 24 year old NES that I have still works. I have to blow the cartridges but hey, Mega Man 2 fires up like its 1988. Of course, there is a lot less that can go wrong with a cartridge based system. Most of the issues are of physical contact and age.


PS3=Rock Solid Solution? I don't think so. But the content on the system, price point and features that I want drove me to purchase it, and complete the Triforce.

It is now a triple threat, chairs and ladders, brawl town bully cage match! I hope they all come out fighting the good fight!
silvain's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 12:47
silvain
These threads are boring now.
Blasto's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/08/2009 13:01
Blasto
@MattChewie-- $150. Say it with me. I don't care how long it takes to fix it, it costs $150. It lasted 1 1/2 years. Free > $150 is the point. And they don't acknowlege YLOD.
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