While Nintendo has comfortable dominated the motion-controlled-gaming space for the past few years, that all changes this Fall. Both Sony and Microsoft will be stepping into the ring, with the motion control wand and Project Natal respectively.
But which solution, if any, will consumers flock to? Analyst Michael Pachter is giving the nod to Microsoft, saying that in the first year Natal will outsell the currently-unnamed Sony motion controller 5-to-1.
"I think that the Sony motion controller will have some problems gaining traction, since it is not an 'in the box' solution," he told PS3Center, saying that would limited adoption to one or two million sold "at the outset."
"A year of so after launch, there will be 10 million [Project Natal units] out there," he predicts, "which will probably attract more third party support."
Microsoft has been pushing Natal strong since its reveal at last E3, where as Sony -- which will reveal the controller in more detail at GDC next month -- has been relatively quiet, not yet even giving it a proper name. Many third-party developers have had Natal development kits for awhile now; we've heard rumblings of some rather high profile IPs that take advantage of the camera that are already deep in development.
This question is open to those who own both an Xbox 360 and a PlayStation 3 (loyalists, please sit this one out, if you can): Which motion controller are you most interested -- Sony's or Microsoft's?
Natal to outsell PS3 Wand 5-1 - analyst [CVG]
Contest:
3:30 PM on 02.22.2010
| 
To be honest though I haven't seen enough to consider purchasing either of them yet.
/obligatory post
And I wouldn't expect Natal to outsell Sony's motion controller by 5-to-1. I do expect Natal to do better, but that prediction has a lot more to do with Microsoft's market penetration with the Xbox 360.
Natal will be great for workout games, fighting games and sports games something the wii crowd love, and since gamers like you and I hate motion controls the fact that sonys vibrators work better for our games does not matter.
so yeah I agree with him.
I'm not interested in Natal in the least bit.
All in all it will come down to the software support, which it's still everyone's game.
Patcher: Borderlands has been sent to die.... No comments needed.
Yep, I went there.
In a more related note.. I just need to know more about the games coming out for them before making a real decision. I do own both consoles, so the one that can catch me with a "must have" game will probably be the winner in my household.
I'm not trying to be a pessimist, but both those things scream "too little, too late". Maybe (hopefully) I'll be surprised.
And yeah, I'd say Natal is definitely going to outsell Sony's deal. It seems to be aimed at mass appeal far more than Sony's deal.
Natal i couldn't care less about. Stinks of party games gimmicks and shovelware.
I do believe you have answered your own question.
@Ebbe: Tom Clancy's EndWar?
I am curious to see the price points on both of these, though. If Natal is a lot cheaper, I think it'll sell better. That being said, Arc looks like it would be more practical in hardcore type games, so if I ever did cave and pick up one, it would be that one.
Then again, that would require owning a PS3, but I should be getting one before the end of the month (woo!).
For the core gamer it's going to be about the software. Where's the compelling game for either?