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Pachter: Modern Warfare 2 to top $500 MM in launch week photo

Industry analyst and professional sky pirate Michael Pachter has polished his crystal balls to predict, shockingly, that Modern Warfare 2 will sell a lot of copies when it launches. According to the soothsayer, Infinity Ward's latest will rake in $500 million during launch week. That's quite a bit of money.

Pachter adds that Modern Warfare 2 will "easily" sell 10 million copies before the year is out. He has previously gone on record as saying that, given the right marketing, the game's sales could soar as high as 14 million.

It's a very safe bet to say that Modern Warfare 2 will be a success, and has a greater than possible chance of being this year's biggest shooter, if not the biggest shooter of all time. Mind you, this is also the guy that thought Borderlands was going to die, so who knows, eh?


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38 comments | showing # 1 to 38

TewDee's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 17:49
TewDee
Why is this guy important? Who is he? Why do we need him to let us know the blatantly obvious? I wish we had a filter so I could just not see his name anymore, because I'm sick of seeing him being shown off like some analytical God of video games.
Necros's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 17:54
Necros
@ TewDee

He is a professional analyst. He is not here to tell you jack shit. He is here to tell businesses and investors what they need to know to make proper decisions. You know that Modern Warfare 2 will be popular? Congratulations, have a gold star. You're a gamer. The average businessman doesn't know what kids are playing on the Nintendo these days, and since Pachter is usually at least pointing in the right direction, he's incredibly useful to them.
TheBigFeel's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 17:54
TheBigFeel
@TewDee: He doesn't say these things for you. He says these things for people on wallstreet who don't play videogames but would like invest in them. They pay him to do this research and speculation.

But it does make me wonder why Destructoid, considering its target audience, treats Pachter's predictions as newsworthy.
Xonticus's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 17:55
Xonticus
I wonder if his foresight includes PC gamers. Probably not.
Reien's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 17:58
Reien
I'm with you TewDee. I've commented on this before, and asked Jim if it's possible to not report on this guy anymore. I'd much rather prefer HAWP advertising than read about this pointless man and his opinions.

Please stop Jim.
cornagandarub's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:00
cornagandarub
Ummm, borderlands did pretty much fall flat on it's ass, it definitely didn't do that well.
DonHonk's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:00
DonHonk
This guy is a GIGANTIC cock sucker and should die.
TehPeanut's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:01
TehPeanut
I'm waiting to see if they've evolved the single-player beyond nazi closets and action trip wires before I even rent this thing.

Also, Pachter is a great guy, this is just his job. People need to shut up.
Necros's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:03
Necros
@ DonHonk

Really? Really?

Just because the internet provides you with a comment box does not mean you should type in it.
Loogibot's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:06
Loogibot
Please DON'T stop Jim. I don't know why we should limit ourselves to news that we like, only. I find it interesting, to say the least, and is still relevant to videogames.

Anyways, he's exaggerating. There's no way a game like that is going to make $500m. It's going to make at least elevendy-billion within twenty four hours. Come on Pachter, get your facts straight.
Arianol's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:10
Arianol
Why do we keep getting posts on this Pachter guy? Any one of us Dtoiders could do his job.
JohnnyViral's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:13
JohnnyViral
Necros hit the nail on the head. So what the guy knows the Modern Warfare 2 is going to be a huge hit. Well so do the rest of us, it doenst take a genius to realize that a sequel to a great game, made by the same company is going to be a hit.

I do agree however that Jim has a right to report on this guy, no matter how much of a toll or a moron we think he is.
RenagadePanda's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:14
RenagadePanda
Patcher finally decided to make an accurate prediction?

Nowai.
Death by Yeti's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:16
Death by Yeti
at first i thought it was illogical but then i thought about it more and it doesnt sound so far fetched this guy might finally be right about something
Reien's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:16
Reien
There's lots of "news" articles that relate to video games. Does that mean Dtoid should post them all?

I just wish Jim would be a bit more more selective when thinking about posting about this dude.

There HAS to be other options...
Black Nexus's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:19
Black Nexus
Where's captain obvious?
Jim Sterling's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:21
Jim Sterling
I can be "more selective" about which stories I write. You can also be "more selective" about which stories you read. We cater to a varied bunch of people on Destructoid. What may not interest you may interest another. That's why we post a news story almost every twenty minutes. If there's one story you don't like, just keep clicking and wait for the next one. <3
RBinator's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:23
RBinator
Pachter sure has been saying a lot lately. No doubt that Modern Warfare 2 will reach ten million sales, but will it do so before 2010?
Reien's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:23
Reien
You countered my " with a "

You win.
TheJesusNinja26's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:39
TheJesusNinja26
Considering the GameStop by my work here in PHX, AZ has 250 preorders, and there are probably 40 other Gamestops in town. I'm not shocked. I wish I still had my Best Buy logins to look at their internal inventory system to see how many are preordered.

Jim can you guys at DTOID gather that from IW? the overall total of pre orders?
Bigmoose85's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:55
Bigmoose85
PACHTER RULES!
Holyetheline's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:57
Holyetheline
Borderlands is the shit!
Xzyliac's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 18:57
Xzyliac
Patcher is the man. Screw you guys.
Tarvu's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 19:09
Tarvu
Pachter doesn't know games! He never even played Borderlands!
John Johnson's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 19:43
John Johnson
I love comments like this: This guy is a GIGANTIC cock sucker and should die.

I hope that's sarcasm, and I just got trolled, I really do.

Trashing analysts is so retarded, and it makes gamers look bad. Look at it this way, do fans of any other industry ascribe any emotion to the analysts of that industry? I mean, think about it, there's analysts for every industry. Do people who like Coke get angry when an industry analyst predicts that Pepsi will have a good quarter? If an analyst says that Dreamworks is going to have a bad year, do film fans rage because the analyst, by doing his job, has actually covertly sought to upset them?

C'mon people.
Hcapt's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 19:43
Hcapt
@ Xyliac

He's the man that will steer your buisness straight into brankruptcy. Remember his prediction that the PS3 would win this generation? And his annual prediction of a Wii HD?

Frankly, I like to assume the things we quote him saying are not his professional advice, but things he let out simply to get more coverage (free advertising!) by game journalists. If he was really as bad as he's made out to be, then no one in their right mind would use him.
pascuz46's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 20:26
pascuz46
Hey, someones gotta be good at something right? Either way, Im sure hes making good money, so now who looks like a fool?
Carl Sagan's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 20:33
Carl Sagan
I like Pachter. I think it would be really fun to analyze the video game market and he's generally pretty rational.
mrandydixon's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 20:53
mrandydixon
@Carl Sagan

Agreed.

But not as much as I love you. Been watching Cosmos on my Netflix instant queue. Brilliant stuff.

BTW, I thought you were dead? Are you a zombie?
wallet's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 22:05
wallet
What you Pachter haters dont realise is that Jim Sterling cuts and pastes parts of what he says and makes his own opinion on that. Most of his quotes on this site are taken out of context.

If you listen to the guy talk and his reasoning behind all his predictions it is really logical and he has a very good idea of how electronics work and how they cost as well with games.

Sure a lot of it seems common sense to you but for most investors it is not.
DonHonk's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 22:25
DonHonk
Yes, that was sarcasm. This guy isn't that bad.

But I do think hes annoying. And is wrong most of the time.
John Johnson's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/02/2009 22:42
John Johnson
Do you know how I know he's not wrong most of the time? HE STILL HAS A FUCKING JOB! He works in the financial sector, not on an internet message board. If you fuck up "most of the time" (say at least 50% of the time), you will lose your job, and they will find someone who's better at it than you.
BahamutZero's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/03/2009 00:31
BahamutZero
"He works in the financial sector, not on an internet message board. If you fuck up "most of the time" (say at least 50% of the time), you will lose your job, and they will find someone who's better at it than you."

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA. THAT'S RICH.

everyone on wall street would be fired.
Hasney's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/03/2009 00:56
Hasney
"Pachter adds that Modern Warfare 2 will "easily" sell 10 million copies before the year is out. He has previously gone on record as saying that, given the right marketing, the game's sales could soar as high as 14 million."

Sooooo, 10 million copies then!
Volomon's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/03/2009 02:36
Volomon
I actually think it will sell more than 14 million, given the rough and slow embrace of cultures such as even Japan. It has picked up enough media attention world wide from Modern Warfare and World at War. In some ways World at War has even brought more attention to Modern Warfare 2 than the original Modern Warfare did in such areas as European sectors.

I don't think it shocking to see it surpass 10 million in just 2009, then maybe even surpass 15 million next year and I even dare say get pretty close to 20 million though I guess that might be a stretch.
Interstate78's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/03/2009 03:21
Interstate78
hehe. I bet you a dollar it will have 'disappointing' sales
TheDirtyHobo's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/03/2009 05:02
TheDirtyHobo
I never had any plans to buy this game, but apparently my dad does. And he doesn't even own a console, just bums off of mine when he's in town.
enteringoblivion's Avatar - Comment posted on 11/03/2009 16:55
enteringoblivion
I understand that the uninitiated may need information but this guy is just saying things that can be found online for free. Yes, not everything online is credible, but I doubt everyone in this guy's position is, either. But I guess he's not going to give out good information that he could charge someone for. I don't know enough about him to call him anything.

"He works in the financial sector, not on an internet message board. If you fuck up "most of the time" (say at least 50% of the time), you will lose your job, and they will find someone who's better at it than you."

I may be a simple person without much book learnin' but there were some pretty BIG fuck ups in the financial sector about a year ago and I don't think any of dem rich folks paid a whole darn lot for it.
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