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The latter is my case.
Come on, it´s Blizzard, I am sure they celebrate Christmas on April.
The waiting for both Starcraft 2 and Diablo 3 is killing me!
blizzard has a long, consistent history of releasing games and their sequels/expansions on the same months (in some cases, even on the same day). Warcraft 3 and it's expansion Frozen Throne were both released in early July. Diablo 2 and it's expansion LoD were both released on June 29 exactly. breaking the mold is Starcraft (oh the irony) released on March 31 of "98 while it's expansion Broodwar was released precisely 8 months later in November.
so i'd say March '09 is a potential candidate. not a lock of course but, given the evidence, definately a point of interest. as for Diablo 3, one could also look at June 2010 as a possible release though that might seem cruel after revealing so much so soon...who knows...