There's good reason to believe that our next generation will see a single unified platform. Most recently
Denis Dyack made mention of this vision, as well as
Hideo Kojima so when should we start wondering?
Well - Microsoft has had this vision since starting the Xbox. You can read older articles where the head of Microsofts game division speaks on seeing games as a single platform with a single media much like the standards we go bu y movies (DVD), or music (CD). Microsoft plans to develop the games Operating System. Don't believe me? Look deep into Microsofts support of XNA. Very well organized and tailored to developers. Making life easier for them equals faster games being released on their platform, equals more money in their pockets. Sony is disorganized relying on the developers themselves to provide documentation and help on programming for their platform. This is where the two will meet.
Sony is not an enemy of Microsoft per se. Sony computers and laptops have long since ran Microsoft OS's, and there has to be some sort of partnership/agreement among them for that area of sales. Why should games be any different? In the future, I see Microsoft reaching towards Sony on developing either a single piece of hardware - or two competeing pieces, both running a Microsoft games OS.
I think Sony & Microsoft will realize they need to work together since Hardware sales are usually shitty for both companies immediately after they are launched. HW sales dig into companies profits almost always up until the following year when components become cheaper to obtain and produce. I wouldn't be surprised if you see Sony's cell processor come together with Microsofts Xbox Live, and each company respectively customize their dashboards, hardware style look and feel, among other things, while producing a single disc for each game that is compatible for both companies.
As developing a game is taking longer and longer to do - the hassles incurred by supporting multiple platforms is causing more harm then good to studios. I could easily come up with a huge list of reasons for this. It seems that this generation we are closer than ever to realizing that we do not need to have format wars. Be it audio, video, or game. I personally wouldn't mind seeing companies like Sharp - Toshiba - Sony - Microsoft - Apple - any hardware manufacturer, develop a machine to spec of the operating system, and I can have my option of what player to put in my living room with whichever extra bells and whistles it may have - knowing full well, I can play all of the games "this generation" that I wanted.
Am I crazy?...
(I did not include Nintendo because Nintendo is stubborn and would never agree to such a thing)
I hope that never happens.
If you combine these two, then its kinda like forcing the features instead of letting someone choose. Maybe i read it wrong, but thats what i think.
don't expect that device to be too powerful either, it'll be more similar to a console than a pc. all your applications (games included) will be hosted remotely, physical media will be a thing of the past. several compaines like sun/google are working on solutions for this now. having your entire business stored remotely makes the possibilities endless, i'd imagine somehwere down the line, focus will be put on that for entertainment too (companies like JOOST and other players in the IPTV market are banking on that now).
so no, you're defiantely not crazy.
I think you may need to open yourself up a little bit more to the idea when you think about it.
Read about Beta vs VHS, or for that matter AC3 vs MP3 basically if you wanted to, you could trace back almost every format war in some way to Sony..
Anyways - But if you look at hardware for the console wars, the only ones that ever succeeded were against similar hardware. 8 bit - 16 bit - 32 bit - 128 bit - and now.. Hardware is similar. The platform is not. Its the Operating System which is the future... Think about it.. Sony and Microsoft, Nintendo all create different boxes, they just need one requirement. Run GameOS. This could be scaleable as well. Upgradeable - sure! It's PC -> But now Console. So your console is run by an OS. Its scary for some to think about - but I personally embrace the idea as well.
It wouldn't be so bad - but I do enjoy it when things are done differently as well...
Just trying to be thought provoking
I want my console wars!
But anyways - no there isnt a whole lot of variety my friend! How many releases are across the board (released on all 3)? What is the reason for most exclusives (besides backroom money deals)? How many games are "timed-exclusive" this generation, meaning they are only on PS3 or Xbox for a limited time - who's really winning?
The wii is an innovative way to play - ask your friends how many use PS3 motion controls - I don't use mine..
Developers aren't even taking advantage of the opportunities presented with the new hardware, and what makes it different other than drivers which could be written to perform on ANY console. See Xbox360 Xilt controller tilt mod, as well as XNA running Wiimote. Hell, how much was the original Eye Toy talked about - then 360 Live Vision - and now Eye Toy 2.. These are gimmicky and rarely used by the majority.
I know you like your wars - but I don't know if we'll be seeing them much longer. Especially after many seasoned vets are starting the warcry for a single platform.
Yeah, I feel like those two are more likely to join forces. I think Nintendo will always try to do things their way. But you'll more than likely see in the next 2-3 years Nintendo Wii will fall off more than it picks up. People will be into HD, and Wii will feel too wiik too soon. I own all three. I play my 360 more often just because the more solid experience with being a Live Gold Member (haha), and I enjoy force feedback.. My PS3 feels cheap when I'm playing a game.
If Nintendo tries to go above and beyond next Console, I bet they'll have a chance, but otherwise I see them doing smaller things in the future than I do bigger.
I think this is a pretty dangerous way to think, actually. You do know what happens to products and services when they have no competition, right? You get crap like the New York MTA and many other municipal entities who have no impetus to improve their offerings. Nobody improves a product out of the goodness of his heart, guys. I hate to break this to you, but as long as industry needs to make money (i.e. forever), competition will be absolutely necessary.
Would you be in favor of a one-party political system? Suppose Sony, Microsoft, and Nintendo team up to create this mythical happy-box you're talking about. It'll have the hardware muscle of the PS3, the vast network of Xbox Live, and the controls of the Wii. But what if I don't want to use waggle? What if I prefer my gamepad? This amalgamated beast will have to use both control schemes. Every game will have to be made that way. They'll be absurdly expensive. All three companies would have to hemorrhage enormous amounts of cash just to satisfy everyone with a single machine.
There will be 10 different SKUs, 3 different online payment plans, and so many damn accessories (nunchuks, controllers, tilt sensors, cameras, microphones, etc.) that no one, especially not average consumers, will want to deal with the hassle of figuring it all out. It'll probably have a few amazing titles that will make the whole nightmare worthwhile for a select few, but it won't be able to build up the sort of momentum it would need to overshadow every other product. And you know what you'll have?
A computer.
And someone else will come up with the bright idea to package a small subset of that functionality into a little box that plugs into your TV. All the games will work with the same unit, there will only have to be one configuration, and people who feel intimidated by your amorphous uberconsole will buy it in droves simply because of its one-button simplicity.
Just like the Atari 2600. And the NES. And the iPod.
Competition will begin anew, and new products will spring up to occupy sectors of the market previously ignored by the unwieldy catch-all approach of your supposed monopoly. You can't keep capitalism down, because everyone wins.
As a developer, I sincerely hope this doesn't come true.
Don't forget that HD is still in a very early state. Most people still really don't care for HD graphics over gameplay, as is visible from the Wii's success. I see Nintendo integrating the Wii into a cheap livingroom media hub faster than MS/Sony actually. For the average consumer at least.
Also I wuv you!