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Favorite System: Nintendo 64
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What if Halo 3 doesn't sell systems for MS?
Corncobtacular | 10:17 AM on 09.24.2007 10 comments


I've been thinking about this for awhile. A lot of people see Halo 3 as the game that will help the Xbox 360 regain the lead in the console "race" or at least increase sales. But what will Microsoft do if the game only mildly helps push additional consoles? What if the crowd that lives for all things Halo is mostly the same crowd that already owns a 360?

Let me get to why I feel this way in the first place. There has been some research done on console attach rates early in a consoles life, and there is evidence that a high attach rate early on in a console's life cycle may not be a good thing. This may seem counterintuitive since more games per system means more money for developers that will in turn lead to more games and so on and so forth. The problem is that this can also be a sign the console is only being adopted by the hardcore crowd. I personally feel that this holiday season is going to push the 360 past the hardcore only crowd, but that high attach rate still sticks in my mind....well that and the fact that the hardware seems to always break.

Anyway, back to my original question. If the 360 is indeed only selling to the hardcore crowd, and Halo 3 (along with the holiday lineup) doesn't help push any additional units, what will Microsoft do? Do they simply finish out the current gen and then sell off the business, or are there still enough potential profits in an entertainment center to keep them going?

I for one know I won't continue buying 360 games if there is even a hint that MS will drop support for the system, but I still am not sure if they've gotten accepted completely by the mainstream culture. At least they've surpassed the Dreamcast in sales.

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9 comments | showing # 1 to 9
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AngelsDontBurn's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 10:54
AngelsDontBurn
Then it will be shunned!
Cowzilla3's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 10:55
Cowzilla3
It's a good question especilaly since I'm pretty sure they are still in debt overall with the 360...though I don't know that for sure. Though with holidays and Halo 3 I'm pretty sure sales are going to go up, some people have been waiting for thsi to get the system.

Also well down on fitting into the regulations.
BlindsideDork's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:04
BlindsideDork
M$ is still losing money on their Xbox venture. Over $5 billion loss and just NOW might turn profit. Xbox was only in the race to disrupt Sony. It did that, so don't expect too much in the future from the console name.

But I see your point. I kind of touched on it with my [url=http://www.destructoid.com/blogs/BlindsideDork/halo-3-finish-the-fight-or-give-up-the-fight--45623.phtmlGive Up the Fight?[/url] blog about people who loved Halo but don't want Halo 3.

Halo 3 will sell systems but I feel a lot of people who want Halo 3 already have the system. What they expect, over a million people who don't have a 360 will want the game? I mean they have million pre-orders and I guarantee most of those already have a 360. And there are around 10 million 360's out there. Think about it.
JonDarkwood's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:05
JonDarkwood
I'm sure it'll move plenty of systems, just not enough to overtake the Wii. It'll move them both off store shelves, and back to Microsoft for repairs.
Corncobtacular's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:14
Corncobtacular
Anyone actually think that they would throw in the towel if Halo 3 didn't sell well?
BlindsideDork's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:16
BlindsideDork
If Halo 3 doesn't sell well, M$ has two options. Slowly bow-out or look to Gears of War 2 to be their next cash cow that carries them around.

I say this only cause if it wasn't for Halo, Xbox would be a footnote.
BluDesign's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:33
BluDesign
I doubt it will in either case. Halo 3 has already sold well and it's not even out yet. Aren't there around 1 million + pre-orders for this?

Excellent photo, BTW.

I only made the blog to set out to make Halo 3 blogs easier to sit through.
Jim Sterling's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:33
Jim Sterling
I don't think MS will bow out of the console wars. Xbox Live is too good a prospect, I feel. Remember, people still play Halo 2 to this day (for the next two days) and MS can get a lot of repeat subscriptions if Halo 3's multiplayer lasts as long, which it will.

Somehow I don't think MS would allow itself to just give up.
BlindsideDork's Avatar - Comment posted on 09/24/2007 11:36
BlindsideDork
I would agree Sterlmblebee but M$ is not in the race for console gaming.
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