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Analysts predict console Holiday sales, Blu-Ray could win in the end photo

Some solid analyzing over at Next Generation poses some interesting ideas for the upcoming holiday season and how console sales will fare. The big question is, Will a price drop to $399 for PS3 affect Nintendo and Microsoft's sales? Here's a snippet from one of the unconvinced Sony supporters:

Janco Partners’ Mike Hickey says Sony can only do what it can with what it’s got this holiday. “We don’t think there is really anything Sony can do beyond a dramatic price cut and a verbal outcry for PS3 Blu-ray buyers to turn the tide of their dismal holiday sales outlook relative to the Xbox 360,” he says rather bleakly. “[From a software standpoint,] consumers seem to be struggling with the ‘why pay considerably more for considerably less?’ purchasing dilemma. We are increasingly less confident Sony will show anything remotely remarkable on the PS3 for this holiday.”

I kind of feel like a douchebag disagreeing with an industry analyst, but I'm going to anyway. It seems to me that the price cut for PS3 should make a fairly large impact, Regardless of titles available, I think a lot of people would want to own one if they could afford to do so (for the Blu-Ray player alone.) The gamer focused on solid titles may not be convinced that the console has what he or she desires, but the PS2 has posed sufficient proof that Sony has what it takes to have one of the greatest libraries of all time. Could PS3 follow suit?

[Thank you Justin]

 








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Colette Bennett is a Destructoid features editor from New Orleans, Louisiana. She is also a founding member of Destructoid's sister sites Tomopop, a toy lover's blog and Japanator, our anime site. Likes Nintendo DS, NES, Silent Hill series, Rhythm games, RPGs Meet the rest of the team



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25 comments | showing # 1 to 25
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Topher Cantler's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:08
Topher Cantler
HAH that pic wins.
Cheeburga's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:10
Cheeburga
I'd get one, if I had the money.
Ps3 that is.
nilcam's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:14
nilcam
PS2 won with tons of titles, which lead to more sales, which lead to more games. The PS3 seems to be having trouble to get started.

The Wii has the sales and the games seem to be coming, but only time will tell.
Jetsetlemming's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:19
Jetsetlemming
The PS3 has sold enough that Blu-Ray has propogated far more than HD-DVD, at least making it very strong in the format war for next gun.
I'd also say that with the upcoming MGS4, and a number of other games on the horizon, we shouldn't worry about Sony's situation just yet. I'm actually more concerned about the Wii; the thing sold like hotcakes, but with very few games out for it or in development in it not made by Nintendo, the initial wow of it is fading fast, and sales are starting to sink. Will Smash Brothers be enough to redeem the system? I certainly want a Wii for it. Let's hope there are lots of people with that opinion out there.
bloodylip's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:23
bloodylip
I think a drop in price of the PS3 definitely will cut into the 360 sales this season. Hell, I'd think about buying one if the games suddenly materialized. Sony has name recognition, and if someone is going to drop $350 on a console, $50 isn't such a big gap as $150 was last year. Either way, it won't really heat up until we see price drops putting these consoles in the sub-$200 range.
tobebuk's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:25
tobebuk
Its NOT a price drop! Its a gimped system for a smaller price. No PS2 BC. No MC reader. Smaller HD.
Triphoppin's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:26
Triphoppin
analysts are paid lots of money to say all kinds of crap - they could've even been paid by sony to say things like that. People will only buy the PS3 if more decent games come out for it and/or the fanboys of PS3 get off their high horses. Rock on Nintendo...

Plus HD DVD has already taken over the blu-ray
ShadowXOR's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:29
ShadowXOR
What tobebuk said.
monosylabik's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:32
monosylabik
that picture still makes me laugh.
Variable Gear's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:33
Variable Gear
@ Colette:

Are HD Disc formats really what people want?

The PS3 will do better than it has been doing because there will be more games to ease the pain of being sold a gimped system incapable of BC. Games like Ratchet and Clank Future and Uncharted.
Furnimus's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:37
Furnimus
Pic rocks. PS3 sucks.
Sharpless's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:43
Sharpless
I don't think it will surpass the 360. The 360 will still be riding that big ol' BioShock/Halo 3/COD4/Assassin's Creed/Orange Box wave of goodness. And I think, when faced with the choice of the two systems, most would probably still choose the 360.

Sony has still done nothing to make me want a PS3. I'm sorry. That's not a fanboy talking, that's practical common sense talking. They have nothing I want.
Holyetheline's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:43
Holyetheline
eh, ps3 still doesn't appeal to me much. mgs4 might be able to change that.
Cowboy TTop's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:45
Cowboy TTop
Sony's agenda is just to sell Blu Ray, the fact they ditched BC so casually proves that, and its been that way from day one. They do not give a stuff about us.

360 will still have great sales, but many will also drop notes on PS3. It only takes a look at the reduced price to convince many. I'm sure that there might be a reduction in HD-DVD price in response to PS3 son enough.
wonky360's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 14:55
wonky360
I'm with Gabe Newell from Valve, PS3 as a games machine does not have a happy future.
Taking a look at high scores from metacritic the ps3 is VERY poor. This is what counts, forget the hardware. A silent cool 360 appeals more.
SlavedHeart's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 15:32
SlavedHeart
VERY LOUD OPINION!!!!

oh and wait wait wait... the forget the hardware. A silent cool 360? Dude, that the fastest about face I've EVER seen, and I've seen the president talk publicly. That's the fastest back and forth... well, ever..
Namelessted's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 15:48
Namelessted
I still maintain that Sony is in a world of hurt with the PS3, and they will continue to be in a world of hurt with it. It seems that they got themselves in a rut, and they have no way out now. They are behind in hardware sales, which they lose money on. And more people are buying games on teh 360 than the PS3. The PS3 might be a cheap solution to get a blu ray player, but Sony doesn't make nearly as much money on movie sales as they do on video game sales.
Volomon's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 15:56
Volomon
@wonky360 you agree with a retarded fat man? A silent cool 360 ain't that like against the laws of nature or something?
king3vbo's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 16:25
king3vbo
Hahaha that pic never gets old
Capn Birdseye's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 18:47
Capn Birdseye
I'm hardly a fanboy, the only reason I don't own a PS3 right now is because there is nothing worth playing on it, and I hate the pad.

All the AAA games are on the 360 this holiday season, and in the future, it appears. If i liked MGS, that would be a good reason to get one, but other than that, the game lineup just can't compete.

And games are what the damn thing is about. Average punters dont care about HDD space, cell processors, HD players, etc etc.
qo_op's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 20:49
qo_op
You can hate the ps3 or love it. Sony's going to move consoles this winter when 40GB PS3 is bundled with SPiderman 3 like it or not.
warmonger's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/11/2007 23:53
warmonger
for years sony was ok in my book. but when they started to talk about the PS3 i would get all warm inside. just like when first meet my ex all the i love you just the way you are. then a little on its oh we should change a few things for the better. then after a while its i am just friends and going out with a guy but i never cheated. just like my ex. sony leaves me bitter and pissed off when it think of there names.
Bob Muir's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/12/2007 00:31
Bob Muir
I really can't see the PS3 doing much better this fall, since it still doesn't have a killer app for the system.
Samit Sarkar's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/12/2007 00:52
Samit Sarkar
Well, I can’t see the PS3 making a dent in the 360’s holiday sales, but the price cut (call it “gimped” if you want, but that doesn’t change the fact that Sony can say they’re selling a PS3 for less than $400) should definitely help move some units. Especially now that some good exclusive titles are out (and coming out): Warhawk, Heavenly Sword, Ratchet & Clank Future: Tools of Destruction, Uncharted: Drake’s Fortune, and Haze — and those should all be out before the end of November.
ryooki's Avatar - Comment posted on 10/15/2007 13:32
ryooki
eheh pic ftw !
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